MR robustness

Genetic liability to ADHD → Alzheimer's disease, plus reverse direction. 72 rows, every method × outcome.

IVW forest plotADHD -> AD_LO (FinnGen R13) OR 0.984 (0.898-1.078); ADHD -> F5_ALZHDEMENT (FinnGen R13) OR 1.086 (0.971-1.214); ADHD -> G6_ALZHEIMER (FinnGen R13) OR 0.973 (0.908-1.042); ADHD -> AD (Bellenguez 2022) OR 0.945 (0.900-0.993); REVERSE: AD (Bellenguez) -> ADHD2022 OR 0.997 (0.957-1.039); REVERSE: AD (Bellenguez) -> ADHD (FinnGen F5_ADHD) OR 1.007 (0.931-1.089)ADHD -> AD_LO (FinnGen R13)OR 0.984 · 95% CI 0.898–1.078ADHD -> F5_ALZHDEMENT (FinnGen R13)OR 1.086 · 95% CI 0.971–1.214ADHD -> G6_ALZHEIMER (FinnGen R13)OR 0.973 · 95% CI 0.908–1.042ADHD -> AD (Bellenguez 2022)OR 0.945 · 95% CI 0.900–0.993REVERSE: AD (Bellenguez) -> ADHD2022OR 0.997 · 95% CI 0.957–1.039REVERSE: AD (Bellenguez) -> ADHD (FinnGen F5_ADHD)OR 1.007 · 95% CI 0.931–1.0890.911.11.2Odds ratio, log scale; dashed line = OR 1 (no effect)
IVW (multiplicative random effects) estimate and 95% CI for each of 6 outcome analyses; values rounded to 3 decimals for display (exact values in the CSV).

Reading guide. An odds ratio (OR) of 1 means no effect, and a confidence interval that spans 1 means the data cannot tell the effect from none. Agreement across IVW, MR-Egger, weighted median, weighted mode and MR-PRESSO is what supports a result, and one nominal p-value among many outcomes does not. Values are rounded for display (OR, beta, CI and SE to 3 decimals, p to 3 significant figures); the exact unrounded CSV is at /mr.csv. The instrument-count question (27 vs 34) is unresolved; see Methods.

ADHD -> AD_LO (FinnGen R13)

IVW (multiplicative RE)
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR0.984
95% CI0.898–1.078
beta-0.016
SE0.047
p0.731
MR-Egger slope
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR0.856
95% CI0.613–1.196
beta-0.155
SE0.171
p0.370
MR-Egger intercept (log-OR scale, not OR)
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR1.010
95% CI0.987–1.033
beta0.010
SE0.012
p0.403
Notedirectional pleiotropy test
Weighted median
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR1.025
95% CI0.899–1.167
beta0.024
SE0.067
p0.713
Weighted mode
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR1.054
95% CI0.806–1.379
beta0.053
SE0.137
p0.701
Cochran Q (IVW)
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR–
95% CI–
beta24.246
SE–
p0.866
NoteQ=24.25 df=33 I2GX n/a
MR-PRESSO raw
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR0.984
95% CI0.910–1.064
beta-0.016
SE0.040
p0.691
Noteglobal test p=0.856
MR-PRESSO outlier-corrected
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR–
95% CI–
beta–
SE–
p–
Noteno outliers detected (global test p=0.856); corrected = raw
MR-PRESSO global test
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR–
95% CI–
beta–
SE–
p0.856
NoteRSSobs p=0.856
MR-RAPS-like (own impl., Tukey RE; mr.raps pkg unavailable)
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR0.981
95% CI0.902–1.066
beta-0.019
SE0.043
p0.652
Notetau2=6.01e-05; bootstrap SE
Steiger directionality
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR–
95% CI–
beta–
SE–
p< 0.001
Notecorrect_causal_direction=TRUE; r2 exp=0.00875 r2 out=4.75e-4; ADHD prev 5% assumed
Leave-one-out IVW (range)
MetricValue
SNPs33
OR–
95% CI0.967–1.001
beta–
SE–
p0.988
NoteOR range 0.967-1.001; max p 0.988; min p 0.484; most influential SNP rs77960 (OR 0.967)

ADHD -> F5_ALZHDEMENT (FinnGen R13)

IVW (multiplicative RE)
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR1.086
95% CI0.971–1.214
beta0.082
SE0.057
p0.149
MR-Egger slope
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR1.106
95% CI0.729–1.677
beta0.100
SE0.212
p0.640
MR-Egger intercept (log-OR scale, not OR)
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR0.999
95% CI0.971–1.027
beta-0.001
SE0.014
p0.930
Notedirectional pleiotropy test
Weighted median
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR1.033
95% CI0.906–1.179
beta0.033
SE0.067
p0.626
Weighted mode
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR1.013
95% CI0.789–1.301
beta0.013
SE0.128
p0.920
Cochran Q (IVW)
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR–
95% CI–
beta48.500
SE–
p0.0400
NoteQ=48.5 df=33 I2GX n/a
MR-PRESSO raw
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR1.086
95% CI0.971–1.214
beta0.082
SE0.057
p0.158
Noteglobal test p=0.0404
MR-PRESSO outlier-corrected
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR–
95% CI–
beta–
SE–
p–
Noteno outliers detected (global test p=0.0404); corrected = raw
MR-PRESSO global test
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR–
95% CI–
beta–
SE–
p0.0404
NoteRSSobs p=0.0404
MR-RAPS-like (own impl., Tukey RE; mr.raps pkg unavailable)
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR1.099
95% CI0.989–1.221
beta0.095
SE0.054
p0.0784
Notetau2=5.28e-4; bootstrap SE
Steiger directionality
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR–
95% CI–
beta–
SE–
p< 0.001
Notecorrect_causal_direction=TRUE; r2 exp=0.00875 r2 out=0.00102; ADHD prev 5% assumed
Leave-one-out IVW (range)
MetricValue
SNPs33
OR–
95% CI1.064–1.108
beta–
SE–
p0.250
NoteOR range 1.064-1.108; max p 0.250; min p 0.0745; most influential SNP rs4916723 (OR 1.108)

ADHD -> G6_ALZHEIMER (FinnGen R13)

IVW (multiplicative RE)
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR0.973
95% CI0.908–1.042
beta-0.027
SE0.035
p0.436
MR-Egger slope
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR0.810
95% CI0.629–1.042
beta-0.211
SE0.129
p0.111
MR-Egger intercept (log-OR scale, not OR)
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR1.013
95% CI0.996–1.030
beta0.013
SE0.009
p0.148
Notedirectional pleiotropy test
Weighted median
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR0.947
95% CI0.862–1.041
beta-0.054
SE0.048
p0.261
Weighted mode
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR0.906
95% CI0.760–1.079
beta-0.099
SE0.090
p0.276
Cochran Q (IVW)
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR–
95% CI–
beta30.431
SE–
p0.596
NoteQ=30.43 df=33 I2GX n/a
MR-PRESSO raw
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR0.973
95% CI0.911–1.040
beta-0.027
SE0.034
p0.424
Noteglobal test p=0.611
MR-PRESSO outlier-corrected
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR–
95% CI–
beta–
SE–
p–
Noteno outliers detected (global test p=0.611); corrected = raw
MR-PRESSO global test
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR–
95% CI–
beta–
SE–
p0.611
NoteRSSobs p=0.611
MR-RAPS-like (own impl., Tukey RE; mr.raps pkg unavailable)
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR0.964
95% CI0.905–1.027
beta-0.037
SE0.032
p0.253
Notetau2=1.04e-4; bootstrap SE
Steiger directionality
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR–
95% CI–
beta–
SE–
p< 0.001
Notecorrect_causal_direction=TRUE; r2 exp=0.00875 r2 out=3.44e-4; ADHD prev 5% assumed
Leave-one-out IVW (range)
MetricValue
SNPs33
OR–
95% CI0.960–0.982
beta–
SE–
p0.618
NoteOR range 0.96-0.982; max p 0.618; min p 0.247; most influential SNP rs7506904 (OR 0.96)

ADHD -> AD (Bellenguez 2022)

IVW (multiplicative RE)
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR0.945
95% CI0.900–0.993
beta-0.057
SE0.025
p0.0246
MR-Egger slope
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR0.888
95% CI0.725–1.088
beta-0.119
SE0.104
p0.259
MR-Egger intercept (log-OR scale, not OR)
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR1.004
95% CI0.991–1.018
beta0.004
SE0.007
p0.539
Notedirectional pleiotropy test
Weighted median
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR0.954
95% CI0.892–1.021
beta-0.047
SE0.034
p0.173
Weighted mode
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR0.909
95% CI0.783–1.055
beta-0.096
SE0.076
p0.217
Cochran Q (IVW)
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR–
95% CI–
beta36.183
SE–
p0.322
NoteQ=36.18 df=33 I2GX n/a
MR-PRESSO raw
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR0.945
95% CI0.900–0.993
beta-0.057
SE0.025
p0.0315
Noteglobal test p=0.328
MR-PRESSO outlier-corrected
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR–
95% CI–
beta–
SE–
p–
Noteno outliers detected (global test p=0.328); corrected = raw
MR-PRESSO global test
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR–
95% CI–
beta–
SE–
p0.328
NoteRSSobs p=0.328
MR-RAPS-like (own impl., Tukey RE; mr.raps pkg unavailable)
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR0.946
95% CI0.900–0.995
beta-0.055
SE0.026
p0.0316
Notetau2=7.46e-05; bootstrap SE
Steiger directionality
MetricValue
SNPs34
OR–
95% CI–
beta–
SE–
p< 0.001
Notecorrect_causal_direction=TRUE; r2 exp=0.00875 r2 out=2.14e-4; ADHD prev 5% assumed
Leave-one-out IVW (range)
MetricValue
SNPs33
OR–
95% CI0.938–0.955
beta–
SE–
p0.0696
NoteOR range 0.938-0.955; max p 0.0696; min p 0.0102; most influential SNP rs9969232 (OR 0.955)

REVERSE: AD (Bellenguez) -> ADHD2022

IVW (multiplicative RE)
MetricValue
SNPs71
OR0.997
95% CI0.957–1.039
beta-0.003
SE0.021
p0.894
MR-Egger slope
MetricValue
SNPs71
OR1.151
95% CI1.022–1.297
beta0.141
SE0.061
p0.0236
MR-Egger intercept (log-OR scale, not OR)
MetricValue
SNPs71
OR0.989
95% CI0.980–0.998
beta-0.011
SE0.004
p0.0147
Notedirectional pleiotropy test
Weighted median
MetricValue
SNPs71
OR0.981
95% CI0.923–1.042
beta-0.019
SE0.031
p0.533
Weighted mode
MetricValue
SNPs71
OR0.980
95% CI0.904–1.062
beta-0.020
SE0.041
p0.620
Cochran Q (IVW)
MetricValue
SNPs71
OR–
95% CI–
beta85.098
SE–
p0.106
NoteQ=85.1 df=70 I2GX n/a
MR-PRESSO raw
MetricValue
SNPs71
OR0.997
95% CI0.957–1.039
beta-0.003
SE0.021
p0.895
Noteglobal test p=0.118
MR-PRESSO outlier-corrected
MetricValue
SNPs71
OR–
95% CI–
beta–
SE–
p–
Noteno outliers detected (global test p=0.118); corrected = raw
MR-PRESSO global test
MetricValue
SNPs71
OR–
95% CI–
beta–
SE–
p0.118
NoteRSSobs p=0.118
MR-RAPS-like (own impl., Tukey RE; mr.raps pkg unavailable)
MetricValue
SNPs71
OR1.012
95% CI0.975–1.051
beta0.012
SE0.019
p0.525
Notetau2=1.3e-4; bootstrap SE
Steiger directionality
MetricValue
SNPs71
OR–
95% CI–
beta–
SE–
p< 0.001
Notecorrect_causal_direction=TRUE; r2 exp=0.0192 r2 out=6.32e-4; AD prev 5% assumed
Leave-one-out IVW (range)
MetricValue
SNPs70
OR–
95% CI0.993–1.003
beta–
SE–
p0.998
NoteOR range 0.993-1.003; max p 0.998; min p 0.740; most influential SNP rs7068231 (OR 1.003)

REVERSE: AD (Bellenguez) -> ADHD (FinnGen F5_ADHD)

IVW (multiplicative RE)
MetricValue
SNPs77
OR1.007
95% CI0.931–1.089
beta0.007
SE0.040
p0.863
MR-Egger slope
MetricValue
SNPs77
OR0.960
95% CI0.761–1.212
beta-0.041
SE0.119
p0.734
MR-Egger intercept (log-OR scale, not OR)
MetricValue
SNPs77
OR1.004
95% CI0.986–1.021
beta0.004
SE0.009
p0.673
Notedirectional pleiotropy test
Weighted median
MetricValue
SNPs77
OR1.036
95% CI0.926–1.160
beta0.036
SE0.057
p0.535
Weighted mode
MetricValue
SNPs77
OR1.085
95% CI0.911–1.292
beta0.081
SE0.089
p0.364
Cochran Q (IVW)
MetricValue
SNPs77
OR–
95% CI–
beta85.222
SE–
p0.220
NoteQ=85.22 df=76 I2GX n/a
MR-PRESSO raw
MetricValue
SNPs77
OR1.007
95% CI0.931–1.089
beta0.007
SE0.040
p0.864
Noteglobal test p=0.228
MR-PRESSO outlier-corrected
MetricValue
SNPs77
OR–
95% CI–
beta–
SE–
p–
Noteno outliers detected (global test p=0.228); corrected = raw
MR-PRESSO global test
MetricValue
SNPs77
OR–
95% CI–
beta–
SE–
p0.228
NoteRSSobs p=0.228
MR-RAPS-like (own impl., Tukey RE; mr.raps pkg unavailable)
MetricValue
SNPs77
OR0.999
95% CI0.924–1.080
beta-0.001
SE0.040
p0.974
Notetau2=5.46e-4; bootstrap SE
Steiger directionality
MetricValue
SNPs77
OR–
95% CI–
beta–
SE–
p< 0.001
Notecorrect_causal_direction=TRUE; r2 exp=0.0215 r2 out=0.0025; AD prev 5% assumed
Leave-one-out IVW (range)
MetricValue
SNPs76
OR–
95% CI0.993–1.016
beta–
SE–
p0.997
NoteOR range 0.993-1.016; max p 0.997; min p 0.695; most influential SNP rs6733839 (OR 0.993)